January 29

Hunt’s Reaction to £10 Billion Treasury Boost Proposal


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Increasing the availability of privately rented homes is projected to contribute significantly to government finances, potentially adding £10 billion, as indicated by the National Residential Landlords Association (NRLA). The NRLA recently submitted its proposals to the Government in anticipation of the upcoming March 6 Budget.

This assessment underscores the potential financial impact of boosting the private rental housing supply. The NRLA suggests that a substantial increase in available homes for private rent could translate into a considerable £10 billion boost for government coffers. This projection becomes particularly relevant as the NRLA strategically presents its proposals ahead of the scheduled Budget on March 6, signaling the association’s proactive engagement in addressing housing and financial considerations on a governmental level.

Recent research findings reveal an interesting trend in the rental market, with an average of 11 prospective tenants expressing interest in each available rental property. This data sheds light on the heightened demand for rental accommodations, showcasing the competitive landscape landlords navigate in the current housing market.

In an independent analysis conducted by Capital Economics, the potential impact of scrapping the three percent stamp duty levy on additional home purchases comes to the forefront. According to their findings, such a policy change could unlock a significant housing supply boost, contributing to the availability of almost 900,000 new privately rented homes across the United Kingdom. This insight underscores the potential implications of policy decisions on the housing market and raises considerations about addressing barriers to entry for property investors.

Attributed to a surge in income and corporation tax receipts, Capital Economics’ model predicts a substantial £10 billion surge in Treasury revenue over the same period. This fiscal injection stands out, given its proximity to the entire budget of £11.5 billion earmarked for the Affordable Homes Programme spanning 2021 to 2026, indicating a potentially transformative impact on government finances.

The introduction of the Stamp Duty levy in 2016 by then-Chancellor George Osborne aimed to curtail landlords’ influence in the housing market, particularly concerning families aspiring to homeownership. Nevertheless, the London School of Economics contested this rationale, presenting a counter-narrative that argued, “nationwide, only a minority of sales to landlords involved bids from both types of buyer.” This divergence in viewpoints underscores the ongoing debate surrounding the efficacy of policy interventions in the real estate sector and prompts a closer examination of their actual impact on housing dynamics.

The NRLA is advocating for the Chancellor to eliminate the levy during the upcoming Budget, aligning with the views expressed by Paul Johnson, the Director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies. Johnson cautioned in a piece for The Times that a more stringent tax regime for landlords could potentially lead to an increase in rental prices.

Expressing this sentiment, Ben Beadle, Chief Executive of the National Residential Landlords Association, emphasizes the urgency for the Chancellor to take decisive action in addressing the housing crisis. According to Beadle, not only is expanding the private rented sector vital to meeting the growing demand from tenants, but it also holds the potential to provide a substantial boost to Treasury funds. This, in turn, could facilitate crucial investments in essential public services, highlighting the broader economic impact of housing policies.

Beadle further asserts that discouraging investment in much-needed private rental housing is counterproductive. Inaction, according to him, would result in additional challenges for prospective renters. This multifaceted perspective underscores the intricate balance policymakers must strike between encouraging investment, meeting housing demands, and ensuring the affordability of rental properties for tenants. The ongoing dialogue around these issues emphasizes the critical role of housing policies in addressing broader economic challenges.



£10 Billion Treasury Boost Proposal, Capital Economics' model, National Residential Landlords Association, NRLA, Stamp Duty

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